Altmire Poll: Within Margin of Error A new poll conducted by Anzalone-Liszt Research for the PA4 Altmire for Congress race shows Melissa Hart leading Jason Altmire 48- 44. The margin of error was 4.9%Luckily, I got hold of the memo describing the poll results. The memo begins with this:
Recent polling confirms that Republican Congresswoman Melissa Hart is in the toughest re-election battle of her career. With a national political environment that continues to be very rough for Republicans, Hart has dropped below 50% on the current vote and only has a four-point lead over Democrat Jason Altmire. Hart faces an electorate that believes the United States is moving in the wrong direction and favors a Democratic candidate on the generic ballot.None of which is good news for Melissa Hart.
And then there's the data. They poll Altmire/Hart at 44% to 48% and say it represents a 10 point swing since last June. Take a look - Missy's below 50%. Bad news for an incumbent.
They also point out that Hart's approval/disapproval numbers are 52% to 42%. More bad news for an incumbent.
Remember, this is the poll data coming from the firm who did the poll for the Altmire campaign.
Now I wonder if the Hart campaign did a poll. That's right, they did. But they're not releasing it.
Again, I gotta wonder why.
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