First, it sends a message to the anti-Clinton voters in Edwards' camp that Obama is their best shot.
Second, Senator Kerry has a very large e-mail list that he will presumably share with Senator Obama.
Third, Kerry has a very good veterans list, and has a lot of authority with veterans, which are a large and important constituency in South Carolina.
Fourth, Kerry is an extremely experienced politician with deep knowledge of foreign policy. His endorsement sends the message that he thinks Obama is ready for the job.
Fifth, this may allow other high profile Democrats to endorse Obama (Kennedy, Gore, and Webb matter).
This is an important endorsement. It gives Obama institutional support, and support in key constituency areas in South Carolina. Also, it ends the New Hampshire story line and the crying episode.
I think Obama still has a 60% chance to win the nomination.
"Also, it ends the New Hampshire story line and the crying episode."
Sorry? Who cried? I know Romney did a few times. Is that who you're referring to? Bush has gotten teary...Obama looked like he was welling up when he walked through the crowd after NH. Is that who you're referring to?
Johnny-boy you'd best keep on prayin' for Hillary 'cuz otherwise you and yr. fellow righties are gonna be watchin' that "loser" Obama eat yr. lunch come November. :P
I agree Shawn. Obama has truly landslide potential. So does Hillary, but in the opposite way--she'd lose. Obama is clearly the best candidate that the party could nominate. I think he'll probably get the nomination.
Another interesting question is who benefits now that Richardson is out of the race? I strongly suspect that most of the people who supported Richardson will switch their support to Hillary.
Obama is now slightly ahead in the polls in South Carolina (of course, given what the polls predicted in NH and the actual primary results, I don't how much faith I'd put in those numbers). South Carolina is essentially Edwards' back yard but he's polling a distant third there.
I think Edwards will be out of the race after Florida. If Edwards drops out, I think Obama will benefit the most which will make the races on "Super Tuesday" very interesting.
Man, tell the rest of us what you're smokin'...it must be some good shit.
Because McCain won in NH, he's once again become the darling of the MSM. However the media's adoration of McCain doesn't seem to be shared by Republican primary voters. McCain is polling fourth in Michigan, third in SC, and fourth in Florida.
The only candidate who is generating any kind of excitement among Republican primary voters is Mike Huckabee and the Republican machine will roll out every dirty trick in their arsenal to make sure he's is not the nominee. However, there is a real possibility that Huckabee will sweep Michigan, South Carolina, and Florida putting him in the driver's seat going into "Super Tuesday".
If Huckabee takes Michigan, it would be an especially devastating blow to Mitt Romney since Romney was born in the state and his father was the former Governor. The same can be said for Rudy Giuliani if Huckabee wins Florida.
If Huckabee is the Republican nominee, look for a Democratic landslide of a scale not seen since LBJ's victory in 1964.
You are, however, correct on the latest polls in SC. McCain is now leading Huckabee according to the latest polls from Rasmussen and Faux News.
If, as I suspect, Giuliani loses in Florida and drops out of the race, McCain would benefit the most since the war hawk vote (i.e., Iraq dead-enders) is currently split between McCain and Rudy.
Is there any wonder why Kerry isn't President right now? 2004's winner of the NH primary (and NH general), who is from a neighboring state, waits until AFTER the NH primary to endorse his perfered candidate. What a putz.
And where do they send him? South Carolina! Where he lost badly to Bush in 2004.
What's next? Ted Kennedy endorses Obama in Alabama? Jane Fonda endorses him in Mississippi? Bo Schembechler endorses him in Columbus Ohio?
17 comments:
This one is a bit different, and is important.
First, it sends a message to the anti-Clinton voters in Edwards' camp that Obama is their best shot.
Second, Senator Kerry has a very large e-mail list that he will presumably share with Senator Obama.
Third, Kerry has a very good veterans list, and has a lot of authority with veterans, which are a large and important constituency in South Carolina.
Fourth, Kerry is an extremely experienced politician with deep knowledge of foreign policy. His endorsement sends the message that he thinks Obama is ready for the job.
Fifth, this may allow other high profile Democrats to endorse Obama (Kennedy, Gore, and Webb matter).
This is an important endorsement. It gives Obama institutional support, and support in key constituency areas in South Carolina. Also, it ends the New Hampshire story line and the crying episode.
I think Obama still has a 60% chance to win the nomination.
John K. says: Man every day it just gets better and better. Sen. Kerry to endorse Obama. One loser endorsing another. Make it harder.
"Also, it ends the New Hampshire story line and the crying episode."
Sorry? Who cried? I know Romney did a few times. Is that who you're referring to? Bush has gotten teary...Obama looked like he was welling up when he walked through the crowd after NH. Is that who you're referring to?
Yeah, perhaps choked up is better. For the record, I don't believe that was genuine. The very next sentence was a blistering attack on Sen. Obama.
Johnny-boy you'd best keep on prayin' for Hillary 'cuz otherwise you and yr. fellow righties are gonna be watchin' that "loser" Obama eat yr. lunch come November. :P
- Shawn
I agree Shawn. Obama has truly landslide potential. So does Hillary, but in the opposite way--she'd lose. Obama is clearly the best candidate that the party could nominate. I think he'll probably get the nomination.
Landslide potential for Obama?
Man, tell the rest of us what you're smokin'...it must be some good shit.
Another interesting question is who benefits now that Richardson is out of the race? I strongly suspect that most of the people who supported Richardson will switch their support to Hillary.
Obama is now slightly ahead in the polls in South Carolina (of course, given what the polls predicted in NH and the actual primary results, I don't how much faith I'd put in those numbers). South Carolina is essentially Edwards' back yard but he's polling a distant third there.
Hillary is leading in the polls in Florida as well and, again Edwards is polling a distant third.
I think Edwards will be out of the race after Florida. If Edwards drops out, I think Obama will benefit the most which will make the races on "Super Tuesday" very interesting.
Man, tell the rest of us what you're smokin'...it must be some good shit.
Because McCain won in NH, he's once again become the darling of the MSM. However the media's adoration of McCain doesn't seem to be shared by Republican primary voters. McCain is polling fourth in Michigan, third in SC, and fourth in Florida.
The only candidate who is generating any kind of excitement among Republican primary voters is Mike Huckabee and the Republican machine will roll out every dirty trick in their arsenal to make sure he's is not the nominee. However, there is a real possibility that Huckabee will sweep Michigan, South Carolina, and Florida putting him in the driver's seat going into "Super Tuesday".
If Huckabee takes Michigan, it would be an especially devastating blow to Mitt Romney since Romney was born in the state and his father was the former Governor. The same can be said for Rudy Giuliani if Huckabee wins Florida.
If Huckabee is the Republican nominee, look for a Democratic landslide of a scale not seen since LBJ's victory in 1964.
Huck won't win - only the born-agains like him.
I haven't checked the SC polls today, but he wasn't in the lead.
The Southern Bible belt primary swing will be interesting.
My money's on Mitt for the best national candidate the Reps can offer.
Huck's a lib in Christian clothing, McCain's too old, and not conservative enough.
Huck's a lib in Christian clothing
Huckabee a liberal??? What have YOU been smoking?
You are, however, correct on the latest polls in SC. McCain is now leading Huckabee according to the latest polls from Rasmussen and Faux News.
If, as I suspect, Giuliani loses in Florida and drops out of the race, McCain would benefit the most since the war hawk vote (i.e., Iraq dead-enders) is currently split between McCain and Rudy.
Is there any wonder why Kerry isn't President right now? 2004's winner of the NH primary (and NH general), who is from a neighboring state, waits until AFTER the NH primary to endorse his perfered candidate. What a putz.
And where do they send him? South Carolina! Where he lost badly to Bush in 2004.
What's next? Ted Kennedy endorses Obama in Alabama? Jane Fonda endorses him in Mississippi? Bo Schembechler endorses him in Columbus Ohio?
Say there, Dave, you need to read something other than the Kookville Gazette once in a while.
Huck's policies are very similar to Edwards'. Take away the Christian stuff and he's Edwards incarnate.
Well, the Kookville Gazette is a bit out there, but its got the best cartoon section around.
Also, I seem to recall that they just named Mark Madden as their sports editor. ;)
- Shawn
Huck's policies are very similar to Edwards'. Take away the Christian stuff and he's Edwards incarnate.
Take away the "Christian stuff" and Huck's little more than an average bar band bass player.
What's the difference between a bass player and a large pizza?
The pizza CAN feed a family.
Just curious, X. Which of these Huckabee statements is too liberal for you?
-- My faith is my life - it defines me.
-- I support and have always supported passage of a constitutional amendment to protect the right to life.
-- We don't need universal health care mandated by federal edict or funded through ever-higher taxes.
-- I am running to completely eliminate all federal income and payroll taxes. And do I mean all.
-- Iraq is a battle in our generational, ideological war on terror.
-- I salute and support Israel as our staunch ally in the War on Terror and our greatest friend in that region.
-- No candidate has a stronger, more consistent record on Second Amendment rights than I do.
-- The role of a judge is to interpret the law, not to legislate from the bench.
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